# Frequently Asked Questions

### The Three Types of Lines

In general, you’ll see three different types of lines on RunGoodProps:

**Exact Lines**— these are plays where the lines match exactly at the sportsbook and the prop site. For example, Steph Curry 3PTs is 5.5 on PrizePicks and also 5.5 (-150) on Pinnacle. They match, so we remove the juice and calculate the probability. You can filter forthese lines by creating a filter that says “Favorable Lines is No” and “Push Potential is No”.**only****Favorable Lines**— these happen when lines from the prop sites compared to the sportsbooks do not match. For example, Steph Curry 3PTs is 5.5 on PrizePicks but it’s 6.5 (-120 on the over) on Pinnacle. These are plays where a certain side is favored**and****Push Potential Lines —**these are lines from sportsbooks that are**worse**

### How Are Probabilities Calculated For Favorable Lines & Push Potential Lines?

RunGoodProps uses the Poisson Distribution, a mathematical theory, to help assign a probability to lines that do not match up. There will be an icon in the probability column for the props that are being calculated with this method.

### What Is This?

RunGoodProps is a simple but powerful dashboard that allows you to quickly see which props are the biggest favorties, in real-time. The tool takes all the props available at various prop sites and compares them to odds from a handful of sportsbooks. This creates a dynamic where we can easily find the props, across all sports, that are most likely to win.

### What are prop sites?

Prop sites, like PrizePicks, are fantasy websitess that are based on creating mulit-leg prop entries. The more legs you choose, the more you can win. The payouts range anywhere from 3x to 20x the amount of your entry. Example payouts:

- 2-Leg Power Play: 3x
- 3-Leg Power Play: 5x
- 4-Leg Power Play: 10x
- 5-Leg Flex Play
- 5 Correct: 10x
- 4 Correct: 2x
- 3 Correct 0.4x

### What prop sites are supported?

PrizePicks, Underdog, No House Advantage, ParlayPlay and Sleeper with more being added as often as possible.

### What sportsbooks are supported?

DraftKings Sportsbook, Fanduel Sportsbook, Caesars, PointsBet and Pinnacle with more being added as often as possible.

### How Does RunGoodProps Help?

These prop sites mostly have guaranteed payouts and often treat every prop like it’s 50/50. That’s simply not true. The tool at RunGoodProps allows you to see the props that are the largest favorites, some with a winning liklihood over 60%. Having the true odds be ~60%, but the payouts reflecting a 50% probability, the edge is significantly in your favor. RunGoodProps **removes the vigor*** *before calculating the probability to give you a better sense of the “true probability”.

### How Do I Use The Tool?

It’s quite simple…

1. Go to the RunGoodProps dashboard and view the biggest favorites.

2. Choose to 2-5 that you like.

3. Enter them on your favorite prop site.

### Give Me An Example

Okay. These are (5) real props that have been on the dashboard recently:

- Steph Curry over 3.5 3-Pts Made (-155) | 59.2% probability
- Jose Berrios over 17,5 Pitching Outs (-160) | 57.5% probability
- Jordan Poole over 3.5 Rebounds (-160) | 57.5% probability
- Aaron Ekblad under 2.5 Shots on Goal (-150) | 56.9% probability
- Giannis Antetokounmpo over 6.5 Assists (-155) | 56.7% probability

The likelihood of you getting all five correct is 6.31%. The likelihood you getting four correct is 23.29% of the time. The likelihood of you getting three or less correct is 70.39%. Now, because prop sites guarantee their payouts, you’ll actually get paid too much when you hit four of five. Meaning that if you made this exact $100 wager an infinite number of times, you’d expect to profit $25.27 every time you made the wager.

There is no other wager in sports-betting or fantasy where you have a +25.27% expected value.

### How can I cancel my membership or get a refund?

You can cancel your account, anytime, by visiting the * My Account* page. You will see all active memberships under the “Subscriptions” tab and can cancel them on that screen. If you are unhappy with the product, please email ‘Contact Rick’ and I will make it right!

### What if I want to change my Credit Card on file?

Head to the * My Account* page, locate your subscription and click “update”. Clicking that link will allow you to update your payment options with new card details.

### I still have questions, what should I do?

Head over * to the “contact Rick” page* and shoot me a note. That will go straight to my email inbox and I will respond as soon as I can.